Hull City vs Sunderland: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,488 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Sunderland?
Sunderland starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (2,060 vs 1,947).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Sunderland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 10M. Belloumi
- 21E. Stroud
- 42T. Iroegbunam
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 3R. Giles
- 32N. Mendy
- 19K. Tzolakis
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 9B. Brobbey
- 34G. Xhaka
- 27N. Sadiki
- 28E. Le Fée
- 10N. Angulo
- 11C. Rigg
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 13L. O'Nien
- 15O. Alderete
- 22R. Roefs
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 03:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 3 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats; Sunderland have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 3-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lech Poznan(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hull City wins, 1 draw, 3 Sunderland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland 1-0 Hull City | League Cup |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Sunderland 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Hull City 0-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Sunderland 0-1 Hull City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Hull City 0-1 Sunderland | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2023 | Sunderland 4-4 Hull City | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Sunderland vs Hull City on Sep 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sunderland score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Sunderland | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 11th in Premier League (11 points from 9 matches) and Sunderland sit 20th (5 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
A question about Hull City vs Sunderland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Sunderland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Sunderland played?
- Hull City vs Sunderland is played on February 10, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.