Sunderland vs Everton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Everton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sunderland wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sunderland vs Everton?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sunderland (2,135) and Everton (2,187).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sunderland vs Everton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sunderland
4-2-3-1- 18W. Isidor
- 27N. Sadiki
- 10N. Angulo
- 34G. Xhaka
- 28E. Le Fée
- 12T. Meunier
- 20N. Mukiele
- 4K. Danso
- 32T. Hume
- 17Reinildo
- 22R. Roefs
Everton
4-2-3-1- 11T. Barry
- 8K. Dewsbury-Hall
- 37J. Garner
- 45H. Armstrong
- 22B. Johnson
- 10J. Grealish
- 6J. Tarkowski
- 4J. Branthwaite
- 2A. Maitland-Niles
- 5M. Keane
- 1J. Pickford
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Everton have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Torreense(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brighton(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 3-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hull City(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Manchester United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sunderland win, 2 draws, 3 Everton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Everton 1-3 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2026 | Everton 1-1 Sunderland | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Sunderland 1-1 Everton | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2017 | Everton 3-0 Sunderland | League Cup |
| Feb 25, 2017 | Everton 2-0 Sunderland | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2016 | Sunderland 0-3 Everton | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Everton vs Sunderland on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sunderland score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Everton score 1.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Everton | 1.6 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sunderland sit 17th in Premier League (4 points from 6 matches) and Everton sit 5th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Everton | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 4 |
A question about Sunderland vs Everton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sunderland vs Everton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sunderland the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Everton.
- Where and when is Sunderland vs Everton played?
- Sunderland vs Everton is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadium of Light, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.