Manchester United vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Old Trafford, Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Brighton. The most likely score is 1-1. If Manchester United wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,073 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Manchester United vs Brighton?
On Elo ratings, Manchester United has 2,101 points and Brighton 2,217.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Manchester United vs Brighton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Manchester United
4-2-3-1- 19B. Mbeumo
- 16A. Diallo
- 8Bruno Fernandes
- 10Matheus Cunha
- 18Y. Tielemans
- 37K. Mainoo
- 5H. Maguire
- 2Diogo Dalot
- 15L. Yoro
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 1S. Lammens
Brighton
4-2-3-1- 19C. Kostoulas
- 13P. Groß
- 26Y. Ayari
- 25D. Gómez
- 29M. De Cuyper
- 14José María Andrés Baixauli
- 21O. Boscagli
- 5L. Dunk
- 20Costinha
- 44L. Vušković
- 1B. Verbruggen
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 09:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Manchester United have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Brighton have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-4 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 5, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Manchester United wins, 0 draws, 4 Brighton wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Manchester United 2-3 Brighton | League Cup |
| May 24, 2026 | Brighton 0-3 Manchester United | Premier League |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Manchester United 1-2 Brighton | FA Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Manchester United 4-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Manchester United 1-3 Brighton | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Brighton 2-1 Manchester United | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Manchester United vs Brighton on Sep 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Manchester United score 1.6 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Brighton | 2.4 | 0.7 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Manchester United sit 19th in Premier League (7 points from 9 matches) and Brighton sit 2nd (22 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | 22 |
| 19 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Manchester United vs Brighton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Manchester United vs Brighton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Manchester United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Brighton.
- Where and when is Manchester United vs Brighton played?
- Manchester United vs Brighton is played on February 10, 2027 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Old Trafford, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.