Humenné vs Šamorín: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Chemlonský štadión, Humenné
The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Šamorín. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humenné vs Šamorín?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Humenné (1,738) and Šamorín (1,699).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humenné have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Šamorín have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 0-3 | 2. liga |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Snina(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(home) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 1-3 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Považská Bystrica(away) | 4-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Rohožník(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom(home) | 0-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(away) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 3-1 | 2. liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Humenné win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Šamorín win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Šamorín 3-1 Humenné | 2. liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Humenné 1-1 Šamorín | 2. liga |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Šamorín 1-2 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Humenné 1-0 Šamorín | 2. liga |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Šamorín 2-2 Humenné | 2. liga |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Humenné 3-2 Šamorín | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Humenné score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Šamorín score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humenné | 2.8 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Šamorín | 1.9 | 1.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humenné sit 10th in 2. liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Šamorín sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Šamorín | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
| 10 | Humenné | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humenné vs Šamorín?
- The Footlab model makes Humenné the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Šamorín.
- Where and when is Humenné vs Šamorín played?
- Humenné vs Šamorín is played on November 14, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Chemlonský štadión, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.