Friedberg vs TuBa Pohlheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Friedberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs TuBa Pohlheim?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,791) and TuBa Pohlheim (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; TuBa Pohlheim have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hummetroth(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Friedberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 TuBa Pohlheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim 0-3 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Friedberg 6-1 TuBa Pohlheim | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: TuBa Pohlheim vs Friedberg on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; TuBa Pohlheim score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| TuBa Pohlheim | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and TuBa Pohlheim sit 6th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TuBa Pohlheim | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs TuBa Pohlheim?
- The Footlab model makes TuBa Pohlheim the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Friedberg.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs TuBa Pohlheim played?
- Friedberg vs TuBa Pohlheim is played on September 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.