Hünfelder SV vs Fernwald: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Hünfeld, Hünfeld
The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Hünfelder SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hünfelder SV vs Fernwald?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Hünfelder SV (1,784) and Fernwald (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hünfelder SV have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Fernwald have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fernwald(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kassel 2(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hünfelder SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fernwald win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fernwald 1-3 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Fernwald 1-3 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Hünfelder SV 2-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 3, 2025 | Hünfelder SV 0-1 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Fernwald 1-0 Hünfelder SV | Oberliga - Hessen |
| May 4, 2024 | Hünfelder SV 3-2 Fernwald | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Fernwald vs Hünfelder SV on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hünfelder SV score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fernwald score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hünfelder SV | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Fernwald | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hünfelder SV sit 2nd in Oberliga - Hessen (12 points from 5 matches) and Fernwald sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hünfelder SV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 12 |
| 9 | Fernwald | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hünfelder SV vs Fernwald?
- The Footlab model makes Fernwald the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for Hünfelder SV.
- Where and when is Hünfelder SV vs Fernwald played?
- Hünfelder SV vs Fernwald is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Hünfeld, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsHummetroth
- Nov 14, 2026Bayern AlzenauvsEddersheim
- Nov 14, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsBaunatal
- Nov 14, 2026FriedbergvsKassel
- Nov 14, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsHadamar
- Nov 15, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Nov 15, 20261960 HanauvsFC Gießen
- Nov 15, 2026Kassel 2vsVfb Marburg