Humpolec vs Bystrc Kníničky: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DGroup D - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Bystrc Kníničky. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Bystrc Kníničky?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Humpolec (1,528) and Bystrc Kníničky (1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Bystrc Kníničky have 0, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Znojmo(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bystrc Kníničky score 1.0 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bystrc Kníničky | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 4/6 | 3/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Bystrc Kníničky sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Bystrc Kníničky | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Bystrc Kníničky | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Bystrc Kníničky?
- The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Bystrc Kníničky.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Bystrc Kníničky played?
- Humpolec vs Bystrc Kníničky is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.