Sparta Brno vs Humpolec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Komárovský stadion, Brno
The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Humpolec. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Brno vs Humpolec?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Sparta Brno (1,594) and Humpolec (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Brno have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Humpolec have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chotebor(home) | 2-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Žďár nad Sázavou(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Lanžhot(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FS Třebíč(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Vrchovina(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sparta Brno win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Humpolec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Humpolec 2-3 Sparta Brno | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Sparta Brno 1-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Humpolec vs Sparta Brno on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Brno score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Brno | 2.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Brno sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie D (1 points from 2 matches) and Humpolec sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sparta Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Sparta Brno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Brno vs Humpolec?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Brno the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Humpolec.
- Where and when is Sparta Brno vs Humpolec played?
- Sparta Brno vs Humpolec is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Komárovský stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.