Humpolec vs Pelhřimov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 1Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, Humpolec
The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Pelhřimov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Humpolec vs Pelhřimov?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Humpolec (1,528) and Pelhřimov (1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Humpolec have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Pelhřimov have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kuřim(away) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bedrichov(home) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Velká Bíteš(home) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Velké Meziříčí(away) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bedrichov(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Humpolec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Pelhřimov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Pelhřimov 1-1 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Humpolec 0-1 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Humpolec 0-0 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Pelhřimov 1-2 Humpolec | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Pelhřimov vs Humpolec on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Humpolec score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pelhřimov score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humpolec | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Pelhřimov | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Humpolec sit 10th in 4. liga - Divizie D (2 points from 2 matches) and Pelhřimov sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelhřimov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Humpolec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Humpolec | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Humpolec vs Pelhřimov?
- The Footlab model makes Humpolec the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Pelhřimov.
- Where and when is Humpolec vs Pelhřimov played?
- Humpolec vs Pelhřimov is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion A.F.C. Humpolec, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.