Friedberg vs Kassel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Kassel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friedberg vs Kassel?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,789) and Kassel (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kassel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hadamar(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eddersheim(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hummetroth(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | TuBa Pohlheim(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Friedberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baunatal(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Unter-Flockenbach(away) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Darmstadt 98 II(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Friedberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kassel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kassel 1-1 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Kassel 0-0 Friedberg | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Friedberg 3-0 Kassel | Oberliga - Hessen |
How many goals should we expect?
Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kassel score 2.5 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedberg | 1.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Kassel | 2.5 | 2.8 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Kassel sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Friedberg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 13 | Kassel | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Kassel?
- The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Kassel.
- Where and when is Friedberg vs Kassel played?
- Friedberg vs Kassel is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Bayern AlzenauvsEddersheim
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsHummetroth
- Nov 14, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsBaunatal
- Nov 14, 2026Hünfelder SVvsFernwald
- Nov 14, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsHadamar
- Nov 15, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Nov 15, 20261960 HanauvsFC Gießen
- Nov 15, 2026Kassel 2vsVfb Marburg