Match

Friedberg vs Kassel: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HessenHessen - 18Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Friedberg, Friedberg (Hessen)

FriedbergKassel

The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Kassel. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Friedberg vs Kassel?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Friedberg (1,789) and Kassel (1,742).

Friedberg win46 %
Draw20 %
Kassel win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friedberg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Kassel have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Friedberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hadamar(home)0-3Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Kassel(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Eddersheim(away)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Rot-Weiß Walldorf(home)1-0Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 1, 2026Hummetroth(away)4-2Oberliga - Hessen
Kassel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026TuBa Pohlheim(away)1-2Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 16, 2026Friedberg(home)1-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 12, 2026Baunatal(home)3-1Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 8, 2026Unter-Flockenbach(away)0-6Oberliga - Hessen
Aug 2, 2026Darmstadt 98 II(home)1-5Oberliga - Hessen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Friedberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Kassel win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Kassel 1-1 FriedbergOberliga - Hessen
Dec 7, 2025Kassel 0-0 FriedbergOberliga - Hessen
Nov 15, 2025Friedberg 3-0 KasselOberliga - Hessen

Last archived meeting: Kassel vs Friedberg on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Friedberg score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kassel score 2.5 and concede 2.8. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Friedberg1.82.139/1510/15
Kassel2.52.8013/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Friedberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Hessen (8 points from 5 matches) and Kassel sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Friedberg5221778
13Kassel51136154

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Friedberg vs Kassel?
The Footlab model makes Friedberg the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Kassel.
Where and when is Friedberg vs Kassel played?
Friedberg vs Kassel is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Friedberg, in the Oberliga - Hessen.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Friedberg and Kassel

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