Kassel 2 vs Vfb Marburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HessenHessen - 18Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kassel 2. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kassel 2 vs Vfb Marburg?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Kassel 2 (1,723) and Vfb Marburg (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Kassel 2 have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Vfb Marburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fernwald(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vfb Marburg(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gießen(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | 1960 Hanau(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kassel 2(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Eintracht Stadtallendorf(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hünfelder SV(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Hessen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bayern Alzenau(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hessen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Kassel 2 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Vfb Marburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vfb Marburg 1-1 Kassel 2 | Oberliga - Hessen |
Last archived meeting: Vfb Marburg vs Kassel 2 on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kassel 2 score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Vfb Marburg score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kassel 2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 2/5 | 1/5 |
| Vfb Marburg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kassel 2 sit 12th in Oberliga - Hessen (4 points from 5 matches) and Vfb Marburg sit 5th (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Vfb Marburg | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | Kassel 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kassel 2 vs Vfb Marburg?
- The Footlab model makes Vfb Marburg the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Kassel 2.
- Where and when is Kassel 2 vs Vfb Marburg played?
- Kassel 2 vs Vfb Marburg is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hessen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht StadtallendorfvsHummetroth
- Nov 14, 2026Bayern AlzenauvsEddersheim
- Nov 14, 2026Hünfelder SVvsFernwald
- Nov 14, 2026FriedbergvsKassel
- Nov 14, 2026Darmstadt 98 IIvsBaunatal
- Nov 14, 2026Unter-FlockenbachvsHadamar
- Nov 15, 2026TuBa PohlheimvsRot-Weiß Walldorf
- Nov 15, 20261960 HanauvsFC Gießen