Huracán Balazote vs Marchamalo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Balazote, Balazote
The Footlab model makes Huracán Balazote the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Marchamalo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Huracán Balazote vs Marchamalo?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Huracán Balazote (1,733) and Marchamalo (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Huracán Balazote have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Marchamalo have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Pedroñeras(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Calvo Sotelo(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | San Clemente(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Guadalajara(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Azuqueca(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Huracán Balazote win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marchamalo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Marchamalo 3-1 Huracán Balazote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Huracán Balazote 3-1 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Huracán Balazote 0-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Marchamalo 1-2 Huracán Balazote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Marchamalo 1-0 Huracán Balazote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Huracán Balazote 2-1 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Marchamalo vs Huracán Balazote on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Huracán Balazote score 0.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huracán Balazote | 0.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Huracán Balazote sit 11th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (41 points from 34 matches) and Marchamalo sit 13th (37 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Huracán Balazote | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 44 | 41 |
| 13 | Marchamalo | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 37 | 45 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Huracán Balazote vs Marchamalo?
- The Footlab model makes Huracán Balazote the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Marchamalo.
- Where and when is Huracán Balazote vs Marchamalo played?
- Huracán Balazote vs Marchamalo is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Balazote, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.