Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, Villarrobledo
The Footlab model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Quintanar del Rey. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey?
Quintanar del Rey starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,729).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarrobledo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Quintanar del Rey have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Villacañas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Illescas(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sonseca(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Rayo Majadahonda(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fuenlabrada(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Villarrobledo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Quintanar del Rey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Villarrobledo 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Quintanar del Rey 3-0 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 19, 2023 | Villarrobledo 0-1 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Villarrobledo 1-0 Quintanar del Rey | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 4, 2022 | Quintanar del Rey 1-2 Villarrobledo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey on Feb 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Villarrobledo score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Quintanar del Rey score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarrobledo | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Quintanar del Rey | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Villarrobledo | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey?
- The Footlab model makes Villarrobledo the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Quintanar del Rey.
- Where and when is Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey played?
- Villarrobledo vs Quintanar del Rey is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuestra Señora de la Caridad, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.