Hvězda Cheb vs Ústí nad Labem II: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Hvězda Cheb tráva, Cheb
The Footlab model makes Hvězda Cheb the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ústí nad Labem II. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hvězda Cheb vs Ústí nad Labem II?
Ústí nad Labem II starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,579 vs 1,385).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hvězda Cheb have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; Ústí nad Labem II have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 3-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(away) | 0-4 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Chomutov(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chomutov(away) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sokol Brozany(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Hvězda Cheb score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ústí nad Labem II score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hvězda Cheb | 0.9 | 2.9 | 1 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Ústí nad Labem II | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hvězda Cheb sit 13th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 3 matches) and Ústí nad Labem II sit 15th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hvězda Cheb | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 15 | Ústí nad Labem II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hvězda Cheb vs Ústí nad Labem II?
- The Footlab model makes Hvězda Cheb the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ústí nad Labem II.
- Where and when is Hvězda Cheb vs Ústí nad Labem II played?
- Hvězda Cheb vs Ústí nad Labem II is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Hvězda Cheb tráva, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.