Ostrov vs Štětí: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Ostrov, Ostrov
The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Štětí. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrov vs Štětí?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ostrov (1,646) and Štětí (1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Štětí have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavoj Vyšehrad(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varnsdorf(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ostrov win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Štětí win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí 3-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ostrov 1-2 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Štětí 2-1 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Ostrov 1-2 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Štětí 0-2 Ostrov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Ostrov 1-3 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Štětí score 1.9 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Štětí | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrov sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie B (0 points from 2 matches) and Štětí sit 11th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Štětí | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrov vs Štětí?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Štětí.
- Where and when is Ostrov vs Štětí played?
- Ostrov vs Štětí is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Ostrov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.