Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Vojtěcha Zeithamla, Hostouň
The Footlab model makes Sokol Hostouň the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chomutov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Sokol Hostouň (1,675) and Chomutov (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokol Hostouň have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Chomutov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tempo Praha(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrov(home) | 6-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kladno(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Slavoj Vyšehrad(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sokol Hostouň win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chomutov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Sokol Hostouň 0-0 Chomutov | 3. liga - CFL A |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Chomutov 0-2 Sokol Hostouň | 3. liga - CFL A |
Last archived meeting: Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov on Apr 18, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sokol Hostouň score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chomutov score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokol Hostouň | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Chomutov | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sokol Hostouň sit 3rd in 4. liga - Divizie B (6 points from 3 matches) and Chomutov sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Sokol Hostouň | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov?
- The Footlab model makes Sokol Hostouň the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Chomutov.
- Where and when is Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov played?
- Sokol Hostouň vs Chomutov is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Vojtěcha Zeithamla, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.