Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Perruc, Hyères
The Footlab model makes Hyères the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Hyères (1,797) and Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hyères have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 4-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | St Maur Lusitanos(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Rousset-Ste Victoire(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hyères win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-1 Hyères | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Hyères 2-3 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Hyères | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Hyères 0-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Hyères 0-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 2-2 Hyères | National 2 - Group A |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Hyères on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hyères score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyères | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hyères sit 4th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Hyères | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël?
- The Footlab model makes Hyères the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël played?
- Hyères vs Fréjus St-Raphaël is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Perruc, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.