Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,711) and Lyon Duchere (1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 1-7 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Montpellier II(home) | 3-0 | National 3 - Group H |
| May 9, 2026 | Olympique Lyonnais II(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Fos(home) | 2-3 | National 3 - Group H |
| Apr 18, 2026 | ASPTT Dijon(away) | 4-2 | National 3 - Group H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Lyon Duchere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-2 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 0-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Lyon Duchere 0-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 1 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 17th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | Lyon Duchere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.