Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 23Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,745) and Lyon Duchere (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Lyon Duchere
5-4-1- 9S. Bourouis-Belle
- 11E. Valey
- 7A. Etien
- 8Y. Martelat
- 10N. Dhib
- 6Y. Zouma
- 5R. Thunet
- 3M. Clavel
- 2M. Haon
- 4N. Ighbane
- 1E. Vita
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, 0 draws, 1 Lyon Duchere win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-2 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 0-2 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Lyon Duchere 0-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere on Mar 18, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 8th in National 2 - Group C (9 points from 6 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 16 | Lyon Duchere | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Lyon Duchere is played on April 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.