Limonest vs Toulon: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 22Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Courtois Fillot, Limonest
The Footlab model makes Limonest the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Toulon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Limonest vs Toulon?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Limonest (1,698) and Toulon (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Limonest have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Toulon have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hyères(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 2-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Bobigny(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Limonest win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Toulon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Limonest 2-0 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Toulon 2-3 Limonest | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Limonest score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limonest | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Limonest sit 5th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Toulon sit 7th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Limonest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Toulon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Limonest vs Toulon?
- The Footlab model makes Limonest the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Toulon.
- Where and when is Limonest vs Toulon played?
- Limonest vs Toulon is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Courtois Fillot, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.