IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 16Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion ZSD
The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for IB 1975 Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin?
Tolmin starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,479 vs 1,370).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IB 1975 Ljubljana have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Tolmin have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Svoboda(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Bistrc(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Šencur(away) | 3-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dob(home) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Žiri(away) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Vipava(home) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 3-0 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 IB 1975 Ljubljana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tolmin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tolmin 5-0 IB 1975 Ljubljana | 3. SNL - West |
| Oct 11, 2025 | IB 1975 Ljubljana 2-2 Tolmin | 3. SNL - West |
Last archived meeting: Tolmin vs IB 1975 Ljubljana on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IB 1975 Ljubljana score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tolmin score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IB 1975 Ljubljana | 1.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Tolmin | 2.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IB 1975 Ljubljana sit 13th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Tolmin sit 8th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tolmin | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | IB 1975 Ljubljana | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin?
- The Footlab model makes Tolmin the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for IB 1975 Ljubljana.
- Where and when is IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin played?
- IB 1975 Ljubljana vs Tolmin is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion ZSD, in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.