Litija vs Svoboda: prediction and stats
3. SNL - WestWest - 16Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Litija the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Svoboda. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Litija vs Svoboda?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Litija (1,441) and Svoboda (1,363).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Litija have 3 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Svoboda have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(home) | 1-2 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Izola(away) | 0-4 | 3. SNL - West |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Ilirija(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Kresnice(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2024 | Dragomer(away) | 5-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Šobec Lesce(away) | 1-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zidgrad Idrija(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 23, 2026 | Škofja Loka(home) | 2-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | IB 1975 Ljubljana(away) | 0-3 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 9, 2026 | Izola(home) | 2-2 | 3. SNL - West |
How many goals should we expect?
Litija score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 8; Svoboda score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Litija | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 2/8 | 5/8 |
| Svoboda | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Litija sit 12th in 3. SNL - West (0 points from 2 matches) and Svoboda sit 10th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Svoboda | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Litija | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Litija vs Svoboda?
- The Footlab model makes Litija the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Svoboda.
- Where and when is Litija vs Svoboda played?
- Litija vs Svoboda is played on March 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 3. SNL - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.