IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kalmar FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate IF Elfsborg (1,833) and Kalmar FF (1,788).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Elfsborg have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Kalmar FF have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Västra Frölunda(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vasteras SK FK(away) | 0-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 7-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hammarby FF(home) | 0-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 2-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BK Hacken(away) | 1-1 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IF Elfsborg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Kalmar FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Kalmar FF 2-1 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Kalmar FF 1-3 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 22, 2024 | IF Elfsborg 1-2 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 17, 2023 | IF Elfsborg 0-3 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Kalmar FF 0-4 IF Elfsborg | Allsvenskan |
| Oct 9, 2022 | IF Elfsborg 0-2 Kalmar FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Kalmar FF vs IF Elfsborg on Apr 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Elfsborg score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kalmar FF score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Elfsborg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Kalmar FF | 1.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Elfsborg sit 4th in Allsvenskan (28 points from 18 matches) and Kalmar FF sit 13th (19 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 28 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF?
- The Footlab model makes IF Elfsborg the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Kalmar FF.
- Where and when is IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF played?
- IF Elfsborg vs Kalmar FF is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.