Sirius vs Degerfors IF: prediction and stats
AllsvenskanRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Studenternas IP, Uppsala
The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Degerfors IF. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sirius vs Degerfors IF?
Sirius starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,940 vs 1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sirius have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Degerfors IF have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | BK Hacken(home) | 0-3 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 3-4 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(home) | 2-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Halmstad(away) | 2-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 4-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IF Brommapojkarna(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | IFK Östersund(away) | 5-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(home) | 3-0 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Malmo FF(away) | 2-1 | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | IFK Goteborg(away) | 0-2 | Allsvenskan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sirius win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Degerfors IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Degerfors IF 0-3 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Sirius 2-1 Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Sirius 1-3 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
| May 3, 2025 | Degerfors IF 1-1 Sirius | Allsvenskan |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Sirius 1-1 Degerfors IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Sirius 3-2 Degerfors IF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Degerfors IF vs Sirius on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sirius score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Degerfors IF score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sirius | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Degerfors IF | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sirius sit 1st in Allsvenskan (42 points from 18 matches) and Degerfors IF sit 14th (16 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 26 | 42 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sirius vs Degerfors IF?
- The Footlab model makes Sirius the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Degerfors IF.
- Where and when is Sirius vs Degerfors IF played?
- Sirius vs Degerfors IF is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Studenternas IP, in the Allsvenskan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.