IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 25Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Vänersborgs IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate IF Karlstad II (1,337) and Vänersborgs IF (1,296).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad II have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Vänersborgs IF have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Motala(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lidköping(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ahlafors(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grebbestad(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 1-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Herrestads(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(home) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kumla(away) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Motala(home) | 3-3 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 IF Karlstad II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Vänersborgs IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF 1-4 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 9, 2020 | Vänersborgs IF 1-0 IF Karlstad II | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Vänersborgs IF vs IF Karlstad II on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad II score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vänersborgs IF score 1.0 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad II | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Vänersborgs IF | 1.0 | 2.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad II sit 11th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (10 points from 12 matches) and Vänersborgs IF sit 14th (5 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | IF Karlstad II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 13 | IF Karlstad II | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | 12 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 5 |
| 14 | Vänersborgs IF | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 50 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Vänersborgs IF.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF played?
- IF Karlstad II vs Vänersborgs IF is played on October 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.