IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 22Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Tingvalla IP, Karlstad
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FBK Karlstad. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate IF Karlstad (1,673) and FBK Karlstad (1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IF Karlstad have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; FBK Karlstad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-5 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hammarby Talang(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 IF Karlstad win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 FBK Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | FBK Karlstad 2-3 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 8, 2024 | FBK Karlstad 1-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| May 31, 2024 | IF Karlstad 1-2 FBK Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: FBK Karlstad vs IF Karlstad on Jun 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; FBK Karlstad score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| FBK Karlstad | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IF Karlstad sit 3rd in Ettan - Norra (36 points from 18 matches) and FBK Karlstad sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
| 7 | FBK Karlstad | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for FBK Karlstad.
- Where and when is IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad played?
- IF Karlstad vs FBK Karlstad is played on September 16, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Tingvalla IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.