IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 20Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC)PlatinumCars Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Falkenbergs FF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate IFK Norrkoping (1,814) and Falkenbergs FF (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Norrkoping have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Falkenbergs FF have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(away) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Norrby IF(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | United Nordic(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Falkenbergs FF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF 1-0 IFK Norrkoping | Superettan |
| Nov 23, 2020 | IFK Norrkoping 4-1 Falkenbergs FF | Allsvenskan |
| Jul 26, 2020 | Falkenbergs FF 3-3 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Mar 7, 2020 | IFK Norrkoping 1-0 Falkenbergs FF | Svenska Cupen |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Falkenbergs FF 0-2 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Apr 19, 2019 | IFK Norrkoping 4-3 Falkenbergs FF | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Norrkoping on May 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Falkenbergs FF score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Falkenbergs FF | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Norrkoping sit 1st in Superettan (41 points from 19 matches) and Falkenbergs FF sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 2 | Falkenbergs FF | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 27 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Falkenbergs FF.
- Where and when is IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF played?
- IFK Norrkoping vs Falkenbergs FF is played on August 24, 2026 at 05:05 PM (UTC) at PlatinumCars Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.