IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)PlatinumCars Arena, Norrköping
The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Ostersunds FK. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?
IFK Norrkoping starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,820 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Norrkoping have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Ostersunds FK have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandviken(away) | 4-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Helsingborg(home) | 2-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 2-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | GIF Sundsvall(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 1-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 IFK Norrkoping win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ostersunds FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Ostersunds FK 0-2 IFK Norrkoping | Superettan |
| Mar 18, 2023 | IFK Norrkoping 0-0 Ostersunds FK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2021 | IFK Norrkoping 3-0 Ostersunds FK | Allsvenskan |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Ostersunds FK 1-2 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
| Sep 10, 2020 | IFK Norrkoping 2-2 Ostersunds FK | Allsvenskan |
| Jun 27, 2020 | Ostersunds FK 2-4 IFK Norrkoping | Allsvenskan |
Last archived meeting: Ostersunds FK vs IFK Norrkoping on Jun 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Norrkoping score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ostersunds FK score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Norrkoping | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ostersunds FK | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Norrkoping sit 1st in Superettan (44 points from 20 matches) and Ostersunds FK sit 4th (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IFK Norrkoping | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | Ostersunds FK | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK?
- The Footlab model makes IFK Norrkoping the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Ostersunds FK.
- Where and when is IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK played?
- IFK Norrkoping vs Ostersunds FK is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at PlatinumCars Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.