Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Norrby IF (1,663) and IFK Varnamo (1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norrby IF have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; IFK Varnamo have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Norrby IF win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 IFK Varnamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | IFK Varnamo 2-2 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Nov 27, 2021 | IFK Varnamo 1-2 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Norrby IF 2-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Norrby IF 6-1 IFK Varnamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 24, 2018 | Norrby IF 2-1 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| May 7, 2018 | IFK Varnamo 0-0 Norrby IF | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: IFK Varnamo vs Norrby IF on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Norrby IF score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Varnamo score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby IF | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| IFK Varnamo | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norrby IF sit 12th in Superettan (23 points from 20 matches) and IFK Varnamo sit 14th (19 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 38 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo?
- The Footlab model makes Norrby IF the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo played?
- Norrby IF vs IFK Varnamo is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.