Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Påskbergsvallen, Varberg
The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ljungskile SK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Varbergs BoIS FC (1,733) and Ljungskile SK (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varbergs BoIS FC have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Ljungskile SK have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Osters IF(away) | 0-3 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Franke(away) | 1-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Osters IF(home) | 2-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ljungskile SK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Ljungskile SK 1-3 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-2 Ljungskile SK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Ljungskile SK 0-4 Varbergs BoIS FC | Svenska Cupen |
| Mar 14, 2020 | Varbergs BoIS FC 0-1 Ljungskile SK | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 29, 2016 | Varbergs BoIS FC 2-1 Ljungskile SK | Superettan |
| Jun 27, 2016 | Ljungskile SK 0-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Ljungskile SK vs Varbergs BoIS FC on May 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varbergs BoIS FC score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ljungskile SK score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ljungskile SK | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd in Superettan (34 points from 19 matches) and Ljungskile SK sit 11th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 24 | 34 |
| 11 | Ljungskile SK | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK?
- The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Ljungskile SK.
- Where and when is Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK played?
- Varbergs BoIS FC vs Ljungskile SK is played on November 1, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Påskbergsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.