Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk: prediction and stats
Tweede DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), Bunschoten-Spakenburg
The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Katwijk. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Ijsselmeervogels (1,852) and Katwijk (1,890).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ijsselmeervogels have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Katwijk have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Quick Boys(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kozakken Boys(away) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | EVV(home) | 10-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jong AZ(home) | 1-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 1-0 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hoek(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 4-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Spakenburg(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 4-0 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ijsselmeervogels win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Katwijk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels 2-3 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Katwijk 3-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Katwijk 4-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-0 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
| May 24, 2022 | Katwijk 2-0 Ijsselmeervogels | Tweede Divisie |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Ijsselmeervogels 0-2 Katwijk | Tweede Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ijsselmeervogels score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Katwijk score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ijsselmeervogels | 2.3 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Katwijk | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ijsselmeervogels sit 8th in Tweede Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Katwijk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ijsselmeervogels | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 14 | Katwijk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk?
- The Footlab model makes Ijsselmeervogels the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Katwijk.
- Where and when is Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk played?
- Ijsselmeervogels vs Katwijk is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Westmaat (IJsselmeervogels), in the Tweede Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Kozakken BoysvsHoek
- Mar 20, 2027AFC AmsterdamvsBarendrecht
- Mar 20, 2027GVVV VeenendaalvsHHC
- Mar 20, 2027Quick BoysvsSpakenburg
- Mar 20, 2027De TreffersvsAlmere City II
- Mar 20, 2027KloetingevsKoninklijke HFC
- Mar 20, 2027ROHDA RaaltevsRijnsburgse Boys
- Mar 20, 2027Sparta Rotterdam IIvsRKAV Volendam