Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Futboln'yi Centr FFKR, Bishkek
The Footlab AI model makes Ilbirs the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Kara-Balta. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta?
Ilbirs starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (1,367 vs 1,200).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilbirs
Not enough data to predict the Ilbirs lineup.
Kara-Balta
Not enough data to predict the Kara-Balta lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilbirs have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kara-Balta have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Bars(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Bishkek City(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Muras United(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dordoi Bishkek(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Neftchi(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bishkek City(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Alga(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Asia Talas(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Asiagoal(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilbirs wins, 2 draws, 1 Kara-Balta win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Kara-Balta 0-2 Ilbirs | Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Kara-Balta 1-1 Ilbirs | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Ilbirs 0-2 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Kara-Balta 0-1 Ilbirs | Premier League |
| Jun 18, 2024 | Kara-Balta 1-1 Ilbirs | Premier League |
| May 20, 2024 | Ilbirs 2-1 Kara-Balta | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilbirs score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kara-Balta score 0.7 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilbirs | 1.1 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kara-Balta | 0.7 | 3.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilbirs sit 12th in Premier League (28 points from 25 matches) and Kara-Balta sit 16th (9 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Ilbirs | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 29 | 43 | 28 |
| 16 | Kara-Balta | 26 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 69 | 9 |
A question about Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilbirs the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Kara-Balta.
- Where and when is Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta played?
- Ilbirs vs Kara-Balta is played on October 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Futboln'yi Centr FFKR, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.