Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ilioupolis, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Ilioupoli the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Asteras Magoula. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilioupoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Ilioupoli (1,571) and Asteras Magoula (1,502).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilioupoli
4-3-3- 21F. Miya
- 19E. Sam
- 7Georgios Lleshaj
- 28G. Neofytidis
- 30Aleksey Chayka
- 18Dimitrios Thomaidis
- 5M. Bougaidis
- 3Vangelis Keramidas
- 32G. Maidanos
- 69Sotirios Katsioulas
- 33Georgios Christodoulis
Asteras Magoula
4-3-3- 9C. Kanellopoulos
- 31Milos Ivic
- 30Giannis Domatas
- 13Giorgos Antonopoulos
- 45Panagiotis Papaefthimiou
- 5Konstantinos Samaropoulos
- 4Christos Nonis
- 27Vasilios Triantos
- 18Konstantinos Stratomitros
- 25Efthimios Kotitsas
- 29E. Balasakis
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilioupoli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Asteras Magoula have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Egaleo(home) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kissamikos(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ellas Syros(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Kaisarianis(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Mar 30, 2014 | Fokikos(home) | 3-2 | Football League |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Chania(away) | 0-1 | Football League |
| Mar 16, 2014 | Kallithea(home) | 1-1 | Football League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilioupoli score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Magoula score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilioupoli | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Asteras Magoula | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilioupoli sit 8th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (1 point from 1 match) and Asteras Magoula sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Asteras Magoula | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
A question about Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilioupoli the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Asteras Magoula.
- Where and when is Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula played?
- Ilioupoli vs Asteras Magoula is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ilioupolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.