Dravinja vs Ilirija: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Štadion Dobrava, Slovenske Konjice
The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Dravinja. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dravinja vs Ilirija?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Dravinja (1,470) and Ilirija (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dravinja have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ilirija have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(away) | 0-2 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bilje(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ilirija(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Jesenice(away) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 16, 2026 | Krško(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Dravinja win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ilirija win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ilirija 1-0 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
| May 6, 2026 | Dravinja 2-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Ilirija 2-5 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Dravinja 1-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Ilirija 0-1 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Ilirija 1-3 Dravinja | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Dravinja score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dravinja | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dravinja sit 16th in 2. SNL (0 points from 3 matches) and Ilirija sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 | Dravinja | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dravinja vs Ilirija?
- The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Dravinja.
- Where and when is Dravinja vs Ilirija played?
- Dravinja vs Ilirija is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Štadion Dobrava, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.