Ilirija vs Jesenice: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 21Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Jesenice. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilirija wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 2,922 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Jesenice?
On Elo ratings, Ilirija has 1,453 points and Jesenice 1,444.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilirija vs Jesenice
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilirija
Not enough data to predict the Ilirija lineup.
Jesenice
Not enough data to predict the Jesenice lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 08:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Jesenice have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Tabor Sežana(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Krka(home) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 2-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Dekani(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Krško(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Dravinja(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brežice(home) | 2-2 | 2. SNL |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Triglav(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dren Vrhnika(home) | 5-0 | 2. SNL |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Ilirija wins, 0 draws, 1 Jesenice win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Jesenice 3-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Mar 6, 2026 | Ilirija 2-0 Jesenice | 2. SNL |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Jesenice 0-3 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Jesenice score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.3 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Jesenice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 9th in 2. SNL (16 points from 11 matches) and Jesenice sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jesenice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 17 |
| 9 | Ilirija | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 16 |
A question about Ilirija vs Jesenice?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Jesenice?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilirija the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Jesenice.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Jesenice played?
- Ilirija vs Jesenice is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.