Ilirija vs Primorje: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Ilirija, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Primorje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilirija vs Primorje?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Ilirija (1,498) and Primorje (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilirija have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Primorje have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bistrica(away) | 6-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Beltinci(home) | 1-3 | 2. SNL |
| May 15, 2026 | Gorica(away) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krško(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 31, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| May 27, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ilirija win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Primorje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Primorje 3-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Ilirija 0-0 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Ilirija 1-0 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Primorje 0-1 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| May 7, 2022 | Primorje 3-0 Ilirija | 2. SNL |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Ilirija 0-1 Primorje | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilirija score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Primorje score 0.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilirija | 1.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Primorje | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilirija sit 2nd in 2. SNL (9 points from 3 matches) and Primorje sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilirija | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Primorje | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilirija vs Primorje?
- The Footlab model makes Ilirija the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Primorje.
- Where and when is Ilirija vs Primorje played?
- Ilirija vs Primorje is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Ilirija, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.