Illertissen vs Nürnberg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Nürnberg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Illertissen (1,970) and Nürnberg II (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Nürnberg II have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Illertissen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Nürnberg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Illertissen 1-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Nürnberg II 2-5 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Nürnberg II 2-0 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Illertissen 0-2 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Illertissen 3-1 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Nürnberg II 0-2 Illertissen | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Illertissen vs Nürnberg II on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and Nürnberg II sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs Nürnberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Nürnberg II.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs Nürnberg II played?
- Illertissen vs Nürnberg II is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsLandsberg
- Sep 12, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 12, 2026EichstättvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Sep 12, 2026AubstadtvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Sep 12, 2026Augsburg IIvsGreuther Fürth II
- Sep 12, 2026BuchbachvsBayern München II
- Sep 12, 2026MemmingenvsVilzing
- Sep 12, 2026AnsbachvsBayreuth