Ansbach vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, Ansbach
The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ansbach vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Ansbach (1,754) and Bayreuth (1,832).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ansbach have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ansbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Bayreuth 2-0 Ansbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Bayreuth 2-3 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Ansbach 1-2 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| May 17, 2025 | Bayreuth 1-3 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Ansbach 0-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 18, 2024 | Bayreuth 2-0 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ansbach sit 19th in Regionalliga - Bayern (0 points from 4 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ansbach vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Bayreuth the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is Ansbach vs Bayreuth played?
- Ansbach vs Bayreuth is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsLandsberg
- Sep 12, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 12, 2026EichstättvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Sep 12, 2026AubstadtvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Sep 12, 2026Augsburg IIvsGreuther Fürth II
- Sep 12, 2026BuchbachvsBayern München II
- Sep 12, 2026IllertissenvsNürnberg II
- Sep 12, 2026MemmingenvsVilzing