Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,846) and SpVgg Unterhaching (1,925).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Unterhaching have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | TSV 1860 München(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Buchbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eltersdorf(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Nürnberg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Chemnitzer FC(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aubstadt win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Aubstadt 1-1 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 12, 2025 | SpVgg Unterhaching 0-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 29, 2023 | Aubstadt 2-2 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 23, 2022 | SpVgg Unterhaching 2-1 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 29, 2021 | SpVgg Unterhaching 1-0 Aubstadt | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Aubstadt 0-0 SpVgg Unterhaching | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubstadt | 1.7 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| SpVgg Unterhaching | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SpVgg Unterhaching | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Aubstadt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Aubstadt.
- Where and when is Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching played?
- Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 11, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsLandsberg
- Sep 12, 2026TSV 1860 MünchenvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Sep 12, 2026EichstättvsFC Schweinfurt 05
- Sep 12, 2026Augsburg IIvsGreuther Fürth II
- Sep 12, 2026BuchbachvsBayern München II
- Sep 12, 2026IllertissenvsNürnberg II
- Sep 12, 2026MemmingenvsVilzing
- Sep 12, 2026AnsbachvsBayreuth