Match

Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)NGN-Arena, Aubstadt

AubstadtSpVgg Unterhaching

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Aubstadt. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching?

A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Aubstadt (1,846) and SpVgg Unterhaching (1,925).

Aubstadt win33 %
Draw27 %
SpVgg Unterhaching win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aubstadt have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; SpVgg Unterhaching have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aubstadt
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026TSV 1860 München(home)2-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Buchbach(away)1-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Wacker Burghausen(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 23, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(home)5-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jun 20, 2026Würzburger FV(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
SpVgg Unterhaching
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Illertissen(away)0-3Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 8, 2026Eltersdorf(home)0-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Nürnberg II(away)2-1Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 25, 2026Greuther Fürth II(home)1-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 15, 2026Chemnitzer FC(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aubstadt win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 SpVgg Unterhaching win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 28, 2026Aubstadt 1-1 SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern
Sep 12, 2025SpVgg Unterhaching 0-1 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Mar 29, 2023Aubstadt 2-2 SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern
Aug 23, 2022SpVgg Unterhaching 2-1 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Oct 29, 2021SpVgg Unterhaching 1-0 AubstadtRegionalliga - Bayern
Jul 15, 2021Aubstadt 0-0 SpVgg UnterhachingRegionalliga - Bayern

Last archived meeting: Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Aubstadt score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Unterhaching score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aubstadt1.71.2210/157/15
SpVgg Unterhaching2.11.365/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aubstadt sit 12th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 4 matches) and SpVgg Unterhaching sit 11th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11SpVgg Unterhaching4211347
12Aubstadt41211075

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching?
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Unterhaching the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Aubstadt.
Where and when is Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching played?
Aubstadt vs SpVgg Unterhaching is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at NGN-Arena, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aubstadt and SpVgg Unterhaching

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