Illescas vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats
Friendlies ClubsClub FriendliesKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Illescas, Illescas
The Footlab model makes Illescas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illescas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Illescas (1,719) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,721).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illescas have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | SS Reyes II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 14, 2026 | CF Talavera(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Manchego(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| May 3, 2026 | Villarrobledo(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Albacete II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Marchamalo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tres Cantos(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| May 3, 2026 | Carabanchel(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Illescas win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2023 | Pozuelo Alarcón 0-1 Illescas | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Illescas on Aug 5, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Illescas score 0.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illescas | 0.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 1.1 | 1.2 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illescas vs Pozuelo Alarcón?
- The Footlab model makes Illescas the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Pozuelo Alarcón.
- Where and when is Illescas vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?
- Illescas vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Illescas, in the Friendlies Clubs.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.