Where and when is Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?

Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Galapagar, Madrid

Galapagar

Pozuelo Alarcón

The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Galapagar (1,724) and Pozuelo Alarcón (1,718).

Galapagar win35 %

Draw28 %

Pozuelo Alarcón win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galapagar have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Pozuelo Alarcón have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Galapagar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	AD Parla(away)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Adarve(away)	1-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Alcorcón II(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Pozuelo Alarcón
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 15, 2026	Marchamalo(home)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Tres Cantos(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Carabanchel(away)	2-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Móstoles(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	SS Reyes II(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Galapagar win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Pozuelo Alarcón win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón 0-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 19, 2025	Galapagar 2-2 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 27, 2024	Pozuelo Alarcón 1-1 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 17, 2023	Galapagar 2-2 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	Galapagar 7-1 Pozuelo Alarcón	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 18, 2022	Pozuelo Alarcón 2-0 Galapagar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Pozuelo Alarcón vs Galapagar on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Galapagar score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pozuelo Alarcón score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Galapagar	1.5	1.3	3	10/15	7/15
Pozuelo Alarcón	1.1	1.2	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Galapagar sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (46 points from 34 matches) and Pozuelo Alarcón sit 9th (48 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Pozuelo Alarcón	34	12	12	10	40	33	48
10	Galapagar	34	11	13	10	42	47	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón?: The Footlab model makes Pozuelo Alarcón the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón played?: Galapagar vs Pozuelo Alarcón is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Galapagar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.