Illueca vs Binéfar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Papa Luna, Illueca
The Footlab AI model makes Binéfar the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Illueca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Binéfar wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illueca vs Binéfar?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Illueca (1,657) and Binéfar (1,743).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Illueca vs Binéfar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Illueca
4-3-3- MMarvin Kombe
- ÁÁlex Villalba
- JJulio Liso
- DDaniel Andreu
- PPablo AgustÃn
- EEmilio Mene
- CCarlos Montllor
- JJaime Gumiel
- CChristian Yus
- RRubén Pérez Bueno
- SSergio De Cea
Binéfar
Not enough data to predict the Binéfar lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illueca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Binéfar have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | CD Sietamo(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Almudévar(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Belchite 97(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ejea(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brea(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Fraga(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Robres(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Caspe(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | La Almunia(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Terrassa(away) | 0-4 | Copa Federacion |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Illueca wins, 2 draws, 2 Binéfar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Binéfar 4-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Illueca 2-1 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Binéfar 1-0 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Illueca 3-3 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Illueca 1-1 Binéfar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Binéfar 0-1 Illueca | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Illueca score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Binéfar score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illueca | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Binéfar | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illueca sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Binéfar sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Binéfar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 7 |
| 13 | Illueca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Illueca vs Binéfar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illueca vs Binéfar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Binéfar the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Illueca.
- Where and when is Illueca vs Binéfar played?
- Illueca vs Binéfar is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Papa Luna, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.