La Almunia vs Fraga: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 16Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, La Almunia de Doña Godina
The Footlab AI model makes La Almunia the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Fraga. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Almunia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,517 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Almunia vs Fraga?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate La Almunia (1,719) and Fraga (1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Almunia vs Fraga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Almunia
Not enough data to predict the La Almunia lineup.
Fraga
4-3-3- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIvan Visa
- IIván Combes
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Almunia have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Fraga have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Brea(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Cuarte(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Épila(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 La Almunia win, 0 draws, 1 Fraga win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | La Almunia 3-0 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Fraga 2-1 La Almunia | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
La Almunia score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Fraga score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Almunia | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Fraga | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Almunia sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (7 points from 6 matches) and Fraga sit 4th (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 12 | La Almunia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
A question about La Almunia vs Fraga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Almunia vs Fraga?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Almunia the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Fraga.
- Where and when is La Almunia vs Fraga played?
- La Almunia vs Fraga is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Municipal Tenerías, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.