Ilves vs Mariehamn: result 2-1 and analysis
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 31, 2025 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ratinan Stadion, Tampere (Tammerfors)
Full time
What was the result of Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Ilves won 2-1 on August 31, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 50′R. RiskiIlves (pen.)
- 75′K. AdedoyinMariehamn
- 84′J. KangaIlves
Official lineup for Ilves vs Mariehamn
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ilves
3-4-3- 9T. Hytönen
- 10R. Riski
- 8M. Stjopin
- 23A. Raymond
- 20O. Tiitinen
- 7J. Veteli
- 17M. Söderbäck
- 3M. Rale
- 5S. Väisänen
- 16T. Miettunen
- 12F. Krkalić
Mariehamn
3-4-1-2- 18M. Olawale
- 7K. Adedoyin
- 8S. Dahlström
- 33D. Enqvist
- 6N. Kujasalo
- 23J. van der Heyden
- 14M. Fonsell
- 20E. Patut
- 2N. Nurmi
- 27E. El Kathemi
- 1K. Lund
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilves have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Mariehamn have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | AC Oulu(away) | 4-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 1-5 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Gnistan(home) | 2-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 31, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 0-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2025 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 2-8 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Kooteepee(home) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Gnistan(home) | 2-5 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 1, 2025 | VPS(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 26, 2025 | AC Oulu(home) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ilves wins, 2 draws, 1 Mariehamn win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Ilves 2-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Mariehamn 0-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Ilves 2-1 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Ilves 0-0 Mariehamn | Veikkausliiga |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Mariehamn 1-1 Ilves | Veikkausliiga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilves score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mariehamn score 1.3 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilves | 1.9 | 1.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Mariehamn | 1.3 | 2.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilves sit 2nd in Veikkausliiga (38 points from 27 matches) and Mariehamn sit 6th (19 points from 27 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ilves | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 39 | 38 |
| 6 | Mariehamn | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 49 | 19 |
A question about Ilves vs Mariehamn?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy