Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 14Kick-off on May 23, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Banco Guayaquil, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Independiente del Valle won 2-1 on May 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′C. SpinelliIndependiente del Valle
- 57′J. SornozaIndependiente del Valle
- 62′S. TapieroMushuc Runa SC
Official lineup for Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente del Valle
4-3-1-2- 11M. Hoyos
- 77C. Spinelli
- 10J. Sornoza
- 7P. Mercado
- 6J. Alcívar
- 32J. Méndez
- 15G. Cortéz
- 5R. Schunke
- 14M. Carabajal
- 23T. Santamaría
- 1M. Ramírez
Mushuc Runa SC
3-4-2-1- 41E. Caicedo
- 17C. Penilla
- 32Carlos Alfredo Orejuela Quiñónez
- 19Á. Gracia
- 5Esteban Nicolás Dávila Alarcón
- 14S. Tapiero
- 26K. Peralta
- 37J. Quiñones
- 29D. Quintero
- 4L. Haquín
- 25R. Formento
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente del Valle have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mushuc Runa SC have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2025 | Cuniburo(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 16, 2025 | River Plate(away) | 2-6 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 11, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| May 9, 2025 | Universitario(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| May 4, 2025 | Emelec(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 2-5 | Liga Pro |
| May 14, 2025 | Union Santa Fe(away) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 10, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| May 8, 2025 | Cruzeiro(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| May 4, 2025 | Macara(home) | 4-3 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente del Valle wins, 2 draws, 1 Mushuc Runa SC win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Independiente del Valle 1-1 Mushuc Runa SC | Copa Ecuador |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Mushuc Runa SC 0-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
Last archived meeting: Mushuc Runa SC vs Independiente del Valle on Oct 5, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente del Valle score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mushuc Runa SC score 1.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente del Valle sit 1st in Liga Pro (78 points from 33 matches) and Mushuc Runa SC sit 12th (40 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del ValleLiga Pro: Championship Group | 33 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 35 | 78 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro: Relegation Group | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 43 | 40 |
A question about Independiente del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy