Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera AApertura - 12Kick-off on March 17, 2024 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín
Full time
What was the result of Independiente Medellin vs Once Caldas?
Once Caldas won 1-2 on March 17, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 13′J. PalaciosIndependiente Medellin
- 48′B. ArceOnce Caldas
- 90′D. MorenoOnce Caldas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Medellin have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Once Caldas have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Bogota FC(away) | 2-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 28, 2024 | Millonarios(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Independiente Medellin win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Once Caldas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2023 | Once Caldas 2-2 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| May 11, 2023 | Independiente Medellin 2-2 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2022 | Independiente Medellin 1-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Once Caldas 2-1 Independiente Medellin | Primera A |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Independiente Medellin 3-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2021 | Once Caldas 1-3 Independiente Medellin | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Once Caldas vs Independiente Medellin on Oct 1, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Medellin score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Once Caldas score 1.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Once Caldas | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Medellin sit 11th in Primera A (26 points from 19 matches) and Once Caldas sit 5th (33 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Independiente Medellin | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 15, 2024Alianza Valledupar1-1Deportivo Pasto
- Mar 16, 2024Junior3-1Jaguares
- Mar 16, 2024Santa Fe1-1Deportes Tolima
- Mar 16, 2024Bucaramanga4-0Internacional de Bogota
- Mar 17, 2024Envigado1-1Millonarios
- Mar 17, 2024Deportivo Cali0-1Patriotas
- Mar 17, 2024Chico2-1Atletico Nacional
- Mar 18, 2024Deportivo Pereira2-1Águilas Doradas