Independiente Petrolero vs ABB: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 23Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for ABB. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,564 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs ABB?
Independiente Petrolero starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,528 vs 1,419).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Independiente Petrolero
4-4-2- 9Gean
- 20A. Mercado
- 14Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
- 19G. Cristaldo
- 6D. Rojas
- 93Willie
- 34G. Mendoza
- 2S. Torres
- 50Roni Santos
- 3L. Crescencio
- 12Jhunior Vera
ABB
4-1-4-1- 11Felipe Fajardo Juan
- 40Andrés Guillermo
- 18G. Rea
- 3A. Chumacero
- 7L. Figueroa
- 30A. Bejarano
- 2J. Riascos
- 75D. Valda
- 55Augusto Héctor Seimandi
- 37O. Preciado
- 25J. Cuellar
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; ABB have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Always Ready(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bolívar(home) | 0-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Blooming(away) | 1-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away) | 3-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Real Potosí(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Aurora(away) | 0-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 2, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(away) | 2-0 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Real Potosí(away) | 1-3 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Independiente Petrolero wins, 0 draws, 1 ABB win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | ABB 3-1 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Nov 21, 2025 | Independiente Petrolero 2-0 ABB | Primera División |
| Jul 29, 2025 | ABB 1-2 Independiente Petrolero | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: ABB vs Independiente Petrolero on Jul 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente Petrolero score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; ABB score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| ABB | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Independiente Petrolero sit 10th in Primera División (25 points from 21 matches) and ABB sit 13th (20 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Independiente Petrolero | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 37 | 25 |
| 13 | ABB | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 47 | 20 |
A question about Independiente Petrolero vs ABB?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Independiente Petrolero vs ABB?
- The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for ABB.
- Where and when is Independiente Petrolero vs ABB played?
- Independiente Petrolero vs ABB is played on October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Patria, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.