Match

Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora: prediction and stats

Copa de la División ProfesionalQuarter-finalsKick-off on October 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre

Independiente PetroleroAurora

The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Aurora. The most likely score is 1-1. If Independiente Petrolero wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Independiente Petrolero (1,527) and Aurora (1,593).

38%25%37%
Independiente Petrolero winDrawAurora win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Independiente Petrolero

4-4-2
  1. 9Gean
  2. 20A. Mercado
  1. 14Cristian Jhamil Urdininea Zambrana
  2. 19G. Cristaldo
  3. 6D. Rojas
  4. 93Willie
  1. 2S. Torres
  2. 50Roni Santos
  3. 34G. Mendoza
  4. 3L. Crescencio
  1. 12Jhunior Vera

Aurora

4-1-4-1
  1. 9M. Rangel
  1. 69A. Terrazas
  2. 4I. Vidaurre
  3. 14H. Sánchez
  4. 20A. Pacheco
  5. 10R. Ramallo
  1. 16D. Barro
  2. 32S. Altamirano
  3. 21M. Ortiz
  4. 23I. Huayhuata
  1. 1J. Terrazas

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente Petrolero have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Aurora have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Independiente Petrolero
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Always Ready(away)0-2Primera División
Oct 7, 2026Gualberto Villarroel SJ(home)1-0Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 4, 2026Bolívar(home)0-3Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 2, 2026Blooming(away)1-0Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 27, 2026Gualberto Villarroel SJ(away)3-1Copa de la División Profesional
Aurora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Nacional Potosí(home)2-2Primera División
Oct 7, 2026ABB(home)2-0Copa de la División Profesional
Oct 3, 2026Real Potosí(away)1-1Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 30, 2026San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home)2-2Copa de la División Profesional
Sep 25, 2026ABB(away)1-0Copa de la División Profesional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Independiente Petrolero wins, 1 draw, 2 Aurora wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Independiente Petrolero 1-1 AuroraPrimera División
Nov 3, 2025Aurora 2-3 Independiente PetroleroPrimera División
May 27, 2025Independiente Petrolero 2-4 AuroraPrimera División
Oct 31, 2024Aurora 2-0 Independiente PetroleroPrimera División
Jul 21, 2024Independiente Petrolero 2-1 AuroraPrimera División
Apr 19, 2024Aurora 2-3 Independiente PetroleroPrimera División

Last archived meeting: Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora on Aug 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Independiente Petrolero score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Aurora score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Independiente Petrolero1.51.837/1510/15
Aurora1.51.177/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora?
The Footlab AI model makes Independiente Petrolero the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Aurora.
Where and when is Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora played?
Independiente Petrolero vs Aurora is played on October 20, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Patria, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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