Independiente vs San Marcos de Arica: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 24, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
Full time
What was the result of Independiente vs San Marcos de Arica?
Independiente won 2-1 on April 24, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 39′N. DonadellSan Marcos de Arica
- 54′Á. DíazIndependiente
- 57′D. VallejosIndependiente
Official lineup for Independiente vs San Marcos de Arica
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Independiente
- DD. Vallejos
- FF. Escobar
- ÁÁ. Díaz
- AAriel Alberto Salinas Salinas
- FFreddy Javier Coronel Ortiz
- TTomás Ignacio González Rodríguez
- MMarcelo Eduardo Téllez Soto
- JJavier Ignacio Guzmán Ramírez
- GGonzalo Alberto Mosquera Castro
- LLuciano Andrés Araya Escobar
- CCarlos Andrés Julio Ramírez
San Marcos de Arica
- MM. Leiva
- II. Mesías
- CC. Guerra
- VV. Coria
- NN. Donadell
- FF. Baez
- DD. Cerón
- DD. Muñoz
- MM. Torres
- NN. Rivera
- JJ. Dobboletta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; San Marcos de Arica have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | General Velásquez(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Rodelindo Román(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Concepción(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 2-2 | Copa Chile |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Unión Bellavista(home) | 7-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | Lautaro de Buin(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Real San Joaquín(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 3, 2022 | San Antonio Unido(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Provincial Ovalle(away) | 1-1 | Copa Chile |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcos de Arica score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| San Marcos de Arica | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy