Independiente vs San Marcos de Arica: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on April 24, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
Full time
What was the result of Independiente vs San Marcos de Arica?
Independiente won 2-1 on April 24, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 39′N. DonadellSan Marcos de Arica
- 54′Á. DíazIndependiente
- 57′D. VallejosIndependiente
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Independiente have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; San Marcos de Arica have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | General Velásquez(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Rodelindo Román(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Concepción(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 2-2 | Copa Chile |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Unión Bellavista(home) | 7-0 | Copa Chile |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2022 | Lautaro de Buin(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Real San Joaquín(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Apr 3, 2022 | San Antonio Unido(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Mar 20, 2022 | Provincial Ovalle(away) | 1-1 | Copa Chile |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
How many goals should we expect?
Independiente score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Marcos de Arica score 1.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente | 1.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| San Marcos de Arica | 1.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy