India vs Maldives: prediction and stats
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, Shillong, Meghalaya
The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Maldives. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win India vs Maldives?
India starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,450 vs 1,295).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for India vs Maldives
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
India
4-2-3-1- 17E. Lalrindika
- 10R. Williams
- 8L. Ralte
- 9M. Singh
- 22A. Kuruniyan
- 7A. Thapa
- 6A. Mishra
- 4A. Ali
- 2T. Singh
- 5B. Varghese
- 1G. Singh Sandhu
Maldives
5-4-1- 23M. Hassan
- 21Ibrahim Waheed Hassan
- 16A. Rasheed
- 8I. Aisham
- 12A. Aiham
- 14Haisham Hassan
- 20H. Eenaaz
- 15A. Amdhan
- 2Ali Samooh
- 6Nisham Mohamed Rasheed
- 1Ibrahim Labaan Shareef
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, India have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Maldives have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Panama(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Tajikistan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Tajikistan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Lebanon(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies |
| Sep 24, 2026 | China(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bangladesh U23(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Pakistan(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 India wins, 0 draws, 1 Maldives win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2025 | India 3-0 Maldives | Friendlies |
| Oct 13, 2021 | India 3-1 Maldives | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Maldives 2-1 India | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 9, 2018 | India 2-0 Maldives | SAFF Championship |
| Dec 31, 2015 | India 3-2 Maldives | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 9, 2013 | Maldives 0-1 India | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
India score 1.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Maldives score 0.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Maldives | 0.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about India vs Maldives?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for India vs Maldives?
- The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Maldives.
- Where and when is India vs Maldives played?
- India vs Maldives is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium, in the SAFF Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.