Pakistan vs India: prediction and stats
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on November 5, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Punjab Stadium, Lahore
The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pakistan. The most likely score is 1-1. If India wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pakistan vs India?
India starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,450 vs 1,314).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pakistan vs India
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pakistan
5-3-2- 8Abdul Arshad
- 13A. Khan
- 19Ali Uzair
- 10Alamgir Ghazi
- 15Umar Nawaz
- 4Abdullah Iqbal
- 5Easah Suliman
- 2M. Fazal
- 6A. Shah
- 13M. Ullah
- 1Y. Butt
India
4-2-3-1- 17E. Lalrindika
- 10R. Williams
- 8L. Ralte
- 9M. Singh
- 22A. Kuruniyan
- 7A. Thapa
- 6A. Mishra
- 4A. Ali
- 2T. Singh
- 5B. Varghese
- 1G. Singh Sandhu
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 07:58 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pakistan have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; India have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Vietnam(away) | 2-4 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Philippines(away) | 2-2 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thailand(home) | 0-4 | FIFA Asean Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Afghanistan(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Afghanistan(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Brazil(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Panama(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Tajikistan(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Tajikistan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Pakistan wins, 0 draws, 3 India wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2023 | India 4-0 Pakistan | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 12, 2018 | India 3-1 Pakistan | SAFF Championship |
| Sep 1, 2013 | India 1-0 Pakistan | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Pakistan score 0.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; India score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pakistan | 0.9 | 1.8 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| India | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Pakistan vs India?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pakistan vs India?
- The Footlab AI model makes India the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Pakistan.
- Where and when is Pakistan vs India played?
- Pakistan vs India is played on November 5, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Punjab Stadium, in the SAFF Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.